SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.54%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
58.54% ( 0.56) | 19.76% ( -0.06) | 21.69% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 65.92% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.36) | 30.33% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.41% ( -0.43) | 51.59% ( 0.43) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( 0.03) | 10.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.15% ( 0.07) | 33.85% ( -0.06) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.6) | 26.46% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.81) | 61.64% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.54% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 21.69% |
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