SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
60.43% ( 0.05) | 21.39% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.06) | 43.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.06) | 65.85% ( -0.06) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( 0.03) | 13.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.59% ( 0.07) | 41.41% ( -0.07) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( 0) | 74.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 60.43% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.38% Total : 18.17% |
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