SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.3% ( 0.04) | 22.37% ( 0) | 20.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.07) | 44.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.06) | 66.97% ( 0.07) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.01) | 15.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( -0.02) | 44.06% ( 0.02) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.08) | 35.93% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( -0.08) | 72.71% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.32% |
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