SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
46.91% ( -0.27) | 23.09% ( 0.07) | 30% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.22) | 38.68% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.01% ( -0.23) | 60.99% ( 0.23) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( -0.18) | 16.83% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( -0.33) | 46.83% ( 0.34) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.02) | 25.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( 0.03) | 59.69% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.26% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30% |
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