SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 62.66%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.99% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
62.66% ( 0.28) | 18.35% ( -0.17) | 18.99% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 66.79% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.64% ( 0.68) | 27.36% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.06% ( 0.84) | 47.94% ( -0.84) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.47% ( 0.26) | 8.54% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.46% ( 0.61) | 29.54% ( -0.61) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.33) | 26.98% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( 0.43) | 62.33% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.87% Total : 62.66% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.4% Total : 19% |
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