Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
