Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
26.84%	22.45%	50.7%

Both teams to score 62.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.16%

37.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.91%

60.09%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3%

26.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05%

61.95%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24%

43.76%

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 26.84%

Caernarfon Town 50.7%

Draw 22.45%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.84%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 5.98% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.95% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.7%