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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Mar 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Ofori (18'), Evans (60')
(45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harling (34'), Harris (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
38.83%24.19%36.97%
Both teams to score 60.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.21%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4%21.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3%54.7%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88%56.11%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 38.84%
    Pen-y-Bont 36.97%
    Draw 24.19%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 8.52%
1-0 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.97%

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