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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 14, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
4 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Yakubu (24' og.), Venables (35' pen.), Dalton (36' og.), Evans (74')
Davies (32'), Venables (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ahmun (22')
Snaith (76'), (76'), (77'), (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
41.65%24.53%33.81%
Both teams to score 58.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04%43.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66%66.34%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82%21.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94%54.05%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73%25.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97%60.02%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 41.65%
    Pen-y-Bont 33.82%
    Draw 24.53%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.82%


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