Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
