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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
NL

Bala Town
3 - 1
Newtown

Evans (30', 45'), Leslie (90+5')
Evans (73'), Pryce (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Williams (88')
Edwards (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
63.73%20.25%16.02%
Both teams to score 53.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9%42.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5%64.5%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46%12.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42%38.58%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76.01%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 63.72%
    Newtown AFC 16.02%
    Draw 20.25%
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-0 @ 10.62%
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 6.87%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 63.72%
1-1 @ 9.56%
0-0 @ 4.93%
2-2 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 4.6%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.44%
1-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.02%


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