Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.