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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus
NL

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Evans (4', 10')
Lewis (67'), Black (69'), Hulbert (77'), Owen (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kelly (7')
McAllister (29'), Jones (60'), Williams (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
45.34%25.76%28.91%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79%51.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95%73.05%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87%56.13%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4%68.6%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 45.33%
    Newtown AFC 28.91%
    Draw 25.76%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.91%


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