Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.