Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
