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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 3
New Saints


Davies (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clark (56'), Brobbel (68'), Smith (90+1')
Clark (43'), Robles (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
17.88%21.16%60.96%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.26%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47%37.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69%74.31%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41%13.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29%40.71%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 17.88%
    The New Saints 60.94%
    Draw 21.16%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5%
2-1 @ 4.89%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.88%
1-1 @ 9.98%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 10.17%
0-2 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.25%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.94%

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