Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
