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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
BT

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Bala Town

Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
24.8%22.79%52.42%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.18%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03%44.97%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.8%
    Bala Town 52.42%
    Draw 22.78%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 6.33%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.08%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.42%

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