Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.
