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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
3 - 2
Haverfordwest

Green (30', 89' pen.), Hugh (66')
Cotterill (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fawcett (33', 45')
Richards (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawHaverfordwest County
48.98%22.49%28.51%
Both teams to score 63.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22%36.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05%58.94%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63%15.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85%44.14%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98%25.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.67%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 48.98%
    Haverfordwest County 28.51%
    Draw 22.49%
Barry Town UnitedDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.51%

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