Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.