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Thursday, March 28
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Welsh Premier League
May 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 3
Caernarfon

Edwards (44' og.)
Green (16'), Kavanagh (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hayes (41', 50'), Bickerstaff (90+5')
Edwards (41')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
46.28%22.99%30.73%
Both teams to score 63.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18%37.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93%60.07%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26%16.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33%46.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54%58.46%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 46.28%
    Caernarfon Town 30.73%
    Draw 22.99%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.18%
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.73%

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