Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.