Barry
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (45', 90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town United	Draw	Caernarfon Town
44.26%	24.21%	31.53%

Both teams to score 59.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.78%

43.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.38%

65.62%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29%

19.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29%

51.71%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7%

26.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58%

61.42%

Score Analysis

Barry Town United 44.26%

Caernarfon Town 31.53%

Draw 24.21%

Barry Town United	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.53%