Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.