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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
KYMCO Stadium
NL

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
Newtown

Davies (48'), Snaith (65')
Clutton (33'), Harling (38'), (53'), (72'), (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rushton (25')
(53')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
41.55%24.76%33.7%
Both teams to score 58.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64%67.36%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32%21.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18%54.82%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2%60.8%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 41.55%
    Newtown AFC 33.7%
    Draw 24.75%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.86%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-1 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.7%


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