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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

New Saints
0 - 0
Caernarfon


Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')
FT

Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
75.69%14.7%9.61%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.26%31.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.73%53.27%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.02%6.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.44%25.56%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53%42.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16%78.84%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 75.68%
    Caernarfon Town 9.61%
    Draw 14.7%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 10.5%
3-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 9%
3-1 @ 7.99%
1-0 @ 7.89%
4-0 @ 6.21%
4-1 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 3.42%
5-0 @ 3.31%
5-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.28%
6-0 @ 1.47%
6-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 75.68%
1-1 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 3.85%
0-0 @ 2.96%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.7%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-1 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.1%
0-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 9.61%

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