Druids
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Simpson (71')
Edge (21'), Mooney (45+2'), Ruberto (75'), Flint (81'), Cartwright (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jones (32'), Hayes (40')
Williams (14'), Jones (52'), (74'), Williams (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Druids and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49%. A win for Druids had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Druids win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Druids	Draw	Caernarfon Town
27.59%	23.41%	49%

Both teams to score 59.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22%

41.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.82%

64.18%

Druids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79%

28.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09%

63.9%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47%

47.53%

Score Analysis

Druids 27.59%

Caernarfon Town 49%

Draw 23.4%

Druids	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.84% 1-0 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.59%	1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49%