Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
