Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Flint Town United in this match.
