Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.