Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
