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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
48.9%23.85%27.25%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57%66.43%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91%49.09%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37%29.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33%65.68%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 48.9%
    Haverfordwest County 27.25%
    Draw 23.84%
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 27.25%

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