Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
