Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
