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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Apr 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Snaith (45+1'), Davies (60')
Jefferies (21'), Georgievsky (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Summerfield (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
47.31%24.28%28.4%
Both teams to score 57.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8%45.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46%67.54%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09%50.91%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62%65.37%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 47.31%
    Haverfordwest County 28.4%
    Draw 24.28%
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.4%

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