Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
