Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.