SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 3-1 (5.32%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Briton Ferry |
43.47% ( 0.15) | 22.13% ( 0.04) | 34.41% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 68.14% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.25) | 31.97% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.47% ( -0.3) | 53.53% ( 0.3) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.04) | 15.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -0.08) | 44.41% ( 0.09) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.2) | 19.35% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.86% ( -0.34) | 51.13% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.41% |
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