SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Newtown AFC |
48.22% ( -0.04) | 24.99% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( 0.08) | 49.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( 0.07) | 71.39% ( -0.06) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.02) | 52.97% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.08) | 32.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( 0.09) | 69.33% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
