SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
65.55% ( -0.07) | 17.76% ( 0.03) | 16.69% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.05) | 28.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.07) | 49.55% ( 0.07) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.73% ( -0.03) | 8.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.11% ( -0.07) | 28.89% ( 0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.01) | 30.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 0.01) | 66.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.76% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 16.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
