SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
40.11% ( 0.23) | 25.19% ( -0.04) | 34.69% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( 0.13) | 46.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( 0.12) | 69.02% ( -0.13) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.18) | 23.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( 0.26) | 57% ( -0.26) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -0.05) | 26.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( -0.07) | 61.13% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.69% |
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