Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
