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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 4
New Saints


Rushton (23'), McAllister (39'), Hughes (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Robles (30'), Astles (45+1'), Cieslewicz (47'), Clark (90+4')
Smith (24'), Davies (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
18.88%20.75%60.36%
Both teams to score 57.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63%39.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29%61.71%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63%34.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92%71.07%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34%12.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17%38.82%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.88%
    The New Saints 60.36%
    Draw 20.75%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.13%
1-0 @ 4.65%
2-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-1 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.88%
1-1 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 5.3%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.75%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.29%
0-1 @ 8.99%
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-3 @ 6.4%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 3.53%
0-4 @ 3.31%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.46%
0-5 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 60.36%

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