Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
