Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
