SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 5 | -9 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
50.73% ( 0.78) | 23.76% ( -0.62) | 25.5% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( 1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 2.56) | 45.04% ( -2.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 2.41) | 67.39% ( -2.41) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( 1.29) | 17.8% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.47% ( 2.18) | 48.53% ( -2.18) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( 1.24) | 31.5% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( 1.4) | 67.89% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.64% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.5% |
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