SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Bala Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Newtown AFC | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Airbus UK Broughton | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
48.23% ( -0.46) | 25.58% ( -0.07) | 26.18% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( 0.66) | 52.15% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( 0.57) | 73.87% ( -0.56) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.07) | 21.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.11) | 54.75% ( -0.1) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.81) | 34.76% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( 0.84) | 71.49% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.18% |
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