SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Aberystwyth Town | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
25.44% ( -0.54) | 25.25% ( 0.28) | 49.3% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -1.56) | 51.36% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -1.38) | 73.18% ( 1.39) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -1.3) | 34.95% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( -1.39) | 71.69% ( 1.39) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.52) | 20.85% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( -0.82) | 53.53% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.44% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.3% |
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