SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Newtown AFC | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Flint Town United | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pen-y-Bont | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airbus UK Broughton win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Flint Town United |
57.43% ( 2.46) | 21.43% ( -0.98) | 21.14% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.77% ( 2.66) | 39.22% ( -2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.44% ( 2.74) | 61.56% ( -2.73) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( 1.68) | 13.48% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( 3.26) | 40.49% ( -3.26) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( 0.16) | 32.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.18) | 68.53% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.33)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.5% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.56)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.14% |
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