New Saints
5 - 3
Caernarfon

Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.43%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 6.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
80.43%	12.61%	6.96%

Both teams to score 48.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.94%

31.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.54%

52.46%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.06%

5.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.3%

22.7%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93%

48.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72%

83.28%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 80.43%

Caernarfon Town 6.96%

Draw 12.61%

The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-0 @ 11.38% 3-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 7.85% 4-0 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.55% 5-0 @ 4.28% 5-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 4% Total : 80.43%	1-1 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 3.05% 0-0 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.8% Total : 12.61%	1-2 @ 2.16% 0-1 @ 2.09% Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.96%