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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 0
Real Madrid

Russo (46', 59'), Caldentey (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea472.76Beever-Jones
2Arsenal452.65Russo
3Man City382.24Shaw
4Man Utd342.00Terland
5Brighton251.47Kirby
6West Ham231.35Asseyi
7Spurs201.18England
8Everton181.06Gago
9Liverpool171.00Smith
10Aston Villa160.94Daly
11Crystal Palace150.88Blanchard
12Leicester130.76Cayman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
64.47% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 19.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 16.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59% (0.055 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.81% (0.07 0.07)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.5% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 64.47%
    Real Madrid Femenino 16.3%
    Draw 19.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton 1-3 Arsenal
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-3 West Ham
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Spurs
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-4 Arsenal
Sunday, February 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Celtic Women 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: FC Twente Women 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 7-0 FC Twente Women
Wednesday, November 13 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celtic Women
Thursday, October 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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