SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Chelsea Women |
27.1% ( -1.4) | 21.87% ( -1.23) | 51.03% ( 2.63) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( 3.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( 4.88) | 34.81% ( -4.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( 5.26) | 56.78% ( -5.26) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 1.57) | 24.94% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 2.13) | 59.57% ( -2.13) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 2.69) | 13.97% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 5.05) | 41.46% ( -5.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -1.03)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.93)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -1.06)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.51)0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.43)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.29)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.03% |
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