SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 83.64%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 5.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Women win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Women |
83.64% ( 1.02) | 10.58% ( -0.52) | 5.78% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.9% ( 0.5) | 25.1% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.65) | 45.05% ( -0.66) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.71% ( 0.25) | 4.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.22% ( 0.77) | 17.77% ( -0.77) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.38% ( -1.07) | 46.62% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.8% ( -0.83) | 82.2% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Women |
| 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.11% Total : 83.63% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.9% Total : 10.58% | 1-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 5.78% |
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