SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Hammarby Women had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Hammarby Women win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Hammarby Women |
46.29% ( 0.8) | 25.09% ( -0.54) | 28.62% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( 2.13) | 48.58% ( -2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( 1.91) | 70.7% ( -1.9) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 1.25) | 21.01% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( 1.91) | 53.79% ( -1.9) |
| Hammarby Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( 0.92) | 30.97% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% ( 1.06) | 67.27% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Hammarby Women |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.62% |
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