Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%).