Brighton have fared well in their last couple of outings, but we think the Seagulls will be unable to trouble an Arsenal side that are desperate to win the WSL title for the first time since the 2018-19 season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.